Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.535618 0.694686 0.875218 1.092690 1.344974 1.625959 1.960066
2025-10-05 0.316104 0.509260 0.759240 1.094451 1.520314 2.032075 2.682034
2025-10-12 0.185336 0.379355 0.666773 1.092502 1.677013 2.423341 3.419578
2025-10-19 0.099219 0.271190 0.567258 1.051776 1.766685 2.729306 4.068935
2025-10-26 0.051208 0.196983 0.491732 1.022601 1.857994 3.034742 4.729108
2025-11-02 0.027072 0.152090 0.448405 1.029664 1.994887 3.404450 5.488370
2025-11-09 0.011225 0.108430 0.388742 0.993227 2.054901 3.662389 6.100966
2025-11-16 0.005645 0.090761 0.377416 1.039042 2.246200 4.117922 7.004792
2025-11-23 0.001943 0.069685 0.347513 1.041420 2.362054 4.462831 7.760312
2025-11-30 0.000843 0.062354 0.351869 1.112873 2.599696 5.001892 8.812260
2025-12-07 0.000216 0.052735 0.344403 1.156673 2.789862 5.472962 9.776566
2025-12-14 0.000011 0.041782 0.325865 1.171500 2.926829 5.863468 10.630472
2025-12-21 NaN 0.029423 0.293127 1.148341 2.994606 6.151647 11.349723
2025-12-28 NaN 0.022986 0.280226 1.171092 3.150549 6.588914 12.307469
2026-01-04 NaN 0.017047 0.263356 1.179710 3.278424 6.983473 13.209175
2026-01-11 NaN 0.010535 0.232325 1.142022 3.309422 7.215597 13.864693
2026-01-18 NaN 0.006315 0.207123 1.113749 3.355355 7.472440 14.562917
2026-01-25 NaN 0.004225 0.195152 1.122573 3.478657 7.865199 15.482691
2026-02-01 NaN 0.002049 0.170887 1.084535 3.496750 8.073515 16.112634
2026-02-08 NaN 0.001583 0.171984 1.133548 3.709299 8.630669 17.311394
2026-02-15 NaN 0.000849 0.160920 1.136247 3.817504 9.004299 18.220863
2026-02-22 NaN 0.000775 0.169038 1.212188 4.096431 9.691095 19.648432
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000548 0.169464 1.258690 4.309551 10.263551 20.898581